The armed confrontation between Armenia and Azerbaijan in the Karabakh region has been going on for three days now. Hundreds of dead, dozens of destroyed units of equipment, general mobilization in both states. Events are unfolding very dynamically and may soon take the form of a full-scale war along the Armenian-Azerbaijani border.
The current events in the Karabakh region are a clear indication of the futility of attempts to “peacefully resolve” such conflicts. An international Minsk group has been operating since 1992 to stop the bloodshed there by ensuring a productive dialogue between the parties. It operates with the participation of Russia, France, the United States and the OSCE. Doesn’t resemble anything? As in the case of Ukraine, the negotiations were not productive. At the same time, the “Minsk format” was useful for the Kremlin. Russia used it as a tool to freeze the conflict in order to keep Armenia and Azerbaijan in the orbit of its influence.
In the conditions of occupation by one side of a huge part of the enemy’s territory, a compromise on mutually beneficial principles is impossible. Therefore, an outbreak of conflict becomes inevitable. Large-scale hostilities in the Karabakh region are another example of the absurdity of the fables of Ukrainian politicians, who talk about the inevitability of a compromise solution to conflicts in the XXI century. History is written with iron and blood, not with chatter and concessions.
At the same time, the deployment of hostilities between Armenia and Azerbaijan has once again demonstrated the weakening of Russians. The Kremlin no longer controls the situation in the Caucasus. Today it is obvious that Russia are not ready to help Armenian satellites repel the Azerbaijani offensive. Amorphous calls for “understanding” are heard from Russian diplomats, which look very pathetic against the background of Turkey’s aggressive statements about full support for Azerbaijan.
In the current situation, the interests of Ukraine objectively coincide with the interests of Azerbaijan and Turkey. Modern Armenia is a satellite of the Kremlin, which purposefully supports Russian’s imperial ambitions in international organizations. Azerbaijan fruitfully cooperates with Ukraine in a number of important areas.
It would seem that Ukraine’s position in the Karabakh conflict is quite obvious. However, Zelensky’s team prefer to limit themselves to neutral statements about “deep concern”. It does not surprise me. After all, they are accustomed to avoid sharp corners at all costs, despite national interests.